Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.081809e-03 0.001226 0.001372 0.001531 0.001697 0.001865 0.002049
2025-04-27 7.955123e-04 0.001014 0.001246 0.001506 0.001789 0.002085 0.002416
2025-05-04 6.268233e-04 0.000904 0.001213 0.001573 0.001974 0.002404 0.002892
2025-05-11 4.499996e-04 0.000760 0.001125 0.001567 0.002074 0.002627 0.003267
2025-05-18 2.746229e-04 0.000587 0.000982 0.001483 0.002076 0.002736 0.003512
2025-05-25 1.637666e-04 0.000470 0.000891 0.001448 0.002125 0.002893 0.003807
2025-06-01 8.127122e-05 0.000365 0.000800 0.001403 0.002155 0.003022 0.004066
2025-06-08 3.430506e-05 0.000293 0.000743 0.001393 0.002221 0.003189 0.004365
2025-06-15 1.453088e-05 0.000262 0.000738 0.001446 0.002362 0.003442 0.004761
2025-06-22 4.688217e-07 0.000208 0.000689 0.001436 0.002421 0.003595 0.005040
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000169 0.000657 0.001445 0.002501 0.003771 0.005343
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000152 0.000659 0.001499 0.002638 0.004015 0.005724
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000103 0.000597 0.001469 0.002678 0.004157 0.006008
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000060 0.000534 0.001434 0.002715 0.004300 0.006298
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000046 0.000531 0.001492 0.002876 0.004598 0.006776
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000023 0.000488 0.001483 0.002945 0.004782 0.007120
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000002 0.000404 0.001398 0.002908 0.004835 0.007305
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000354 0.001363 0.002936 0.004965 0.007582
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000302 0.001318 0.002947 0.005071 0.007829
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000272 0.001307 0.003004 0.005235 0.008144
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000273 0.001358 0.003150 0.005513 0.008599
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000245 0.001348 0.003206 0.005673 0.008907
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000228 0.001356 0.003287 0.005866 0.009255